I hope that you had a very good New Years eve party and you enjoyed the racing on New Years day. Nowadays I believed I would take a little of distinctive method and look at a finding a choice in a race according to some exceptional characteristics inside the Race Advisor members region.

The race we are going to take a look at may be the 12:15 Southwell. This race is actually a 5 furlong sprint race and I'm going to utilize what's identified as a speed bar. A speed bar projects the quantity of speed improvement a horse is going to produce.

It is most successful in sprint races exactly where speed is an extremely robust factor. I've a slightly distinct method to most of the people when finding selections. This really is since I think that many people are attempting to uncover selections the wrong way.

Are you attempting to come across the winner within the race?

If you answered Yes to this question then I'd suggest that you simply are seeking at races in the incorrect way. Right after all obtaining the winner is extremely tough. Follow what I am about to show you and you'll find your punting much less difficult.

As a punter you must really be seeking to...

Find any horses that can not win and eliminate them from your list
From the remaining horses come across any which might be particularly strong
From these appear for any that might be offering incredibly fantastic odds based on how most likely you assume their prospect of winning is

These are the three actions that you ought to be looking to achieve when you handicap a race. These three actions are fully various to 99% of the punters around.

Strangely adequate, 99% of punters lose their capital!

Back to the 12:15 at Southwell right now.


Step 1

Our speed bars indicate that there are some runners that are significantly improving in speed and others which are declining. If we take away the decliners of Divertimenti, Fear Nothing and Georgous Goblin we have already removed horses who are declining.

Below each runners name we also have a W which stands for Winning Strike Rate for that horse. Would you desire to bet on a horse that has by no means won? Me neither! This would get rid of Tancred Spirit and Striking Willow, nonetheless given that Striking Willow has such a major speed improvement we shall preserve him in and remove Tancred Spirit only.

Finally would you desire to bet on a runner that has not had a very good race (GR) for more than a year? I did not believe so. This removes Egyptian Lord, Flow Chart and Skylla.

In just a number of minutes we have cut the field down to just 5 prospective runners.

At times the horses we remove in this step will win, regrettably that is definitely just the nature of the company. What exactly is vital is the fact that we're not risking our capital on them!

Step two

The especially powerful horses applying the speed bars are Striking Willow, Steel City Boy and Argentine. With regards to recent efficiency we need to also involve Nafa.

Step three

We now have four horses and ought to make a decision on how you can bet them. Right here is the run down...

Striking Willow - Yet to win, which is a concern, but improved massively in speed bar in the last race and if this occurs once again is usually a prospective winner.

Steel City Boy - Massive speed bar improvement inside the last race and has been performing well lately, could put in an excellent performance these days.

Argentine - An excellent speed bar improvement and has run a very good race recently. Hasn't won for a while but has been fairly consistent for the last three months and has an excellent overall strike rate.

Nafa - No speed bar improvement but has been running well recently and has a great overall strike rate.

Some possible ways we could bet on these...

Dutch bet as long as you could get a minimal of 20% ROI.

Opt for the strongest and bet as a winner or each-way.

Pick the 2 strongest and bet to location.

Personally I is going to be placing a dutch bet so long as I can get a 20% ROI. If I cannot then I will eliminate Striking Willow as he has not however won a race, and dutch the remaining runners.
horse racing tips

Share and enjoy

Post A Comment! :: Send to a Friend!